Newcastle United vs Bournemouth – Premier League Prediction | April 18, 2026
Newcastle United host AFC Bournemouth at St. James’ Park on Saturday afternoon in a Premier League fixture between two sides in the top half of the table. St. James’ Park will be a cauldron of noise as Newcastle look to bounce back following recent inconsistency.
Match Overview
Newcastle are 14th with 42 points (12W–6D–14L). Bournemouth are 11th on 45 points (10W–15D–7L) — one of the draw-specialist sides in the division. Newcastle are slight home favourites at 48.1% win probability, with Bournemouth at 27.5%.
Current Form
Newcastle United: Newcastle were beaten 2–1 away at Crystal Palace last Sunday — a disappointing result that dented their push up the table. St. James’ Park, however, is one of the most atmospheric stadiums in England and Newcastle at home are a much more potent force. The Geordie faithful will demand a response.
AFC Bournemouth: Bournemouth were beaten 1–2 Arsenal at the Emirates last Saturday — a hard but not unexpected result given the quality of the opposition. Their 15 draws this season show a resilient, hard-to-beat side and Gary O’Neil will set them up to frustrate Newcastle and hit on the counter-attack.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 2025 | Newcastle | 2–0 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Nov 2024 | Bournemouth | 0–1 | Newcastle | Premier League |
| Mar 2024 | Newcastle | 2–2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Oct 2023 | Bournemouth | 0–2 | Newcastle | Premier League |
H2H Summary (Last 5)
| Team | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Bournemouth | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Win Probability
| Newcastle Win | Draw | Bournemouth Win |
|---|---|---|
| 48.1% | 24.4% | 27.5% |
🔮 Prediction: Newcastle 2–0 Bournemouth
Newcastle are unbeaten against Bournemouth in the last five meetings — three wins and two draws — and St. James’ Park on a Saturday afternoon is one of the Premier League’s great occasions. The crowd will be electric after the Crystal Palace defeat and Newcastle should have enough quality to see off a resilient but limited Bournemouth side.
Tip: Newcastle to Win & Under 3.5 Goals
Prediction based on current Premier League form, standings and H2H records. Please gamble responsibly.