Manchester United vs Leeds United – Premier League Prediction | April 13, 2026
Old Trafford roars back to life on Monday night as Manchester United host Leeds United in one of English football’s most storied and passionate rivalries. The War of the Roses Derby returns to the Premier League with both sides in very different positions in the table — making this a fascinating and emotionally charged fixture.
Match Overview
Manchester United sit 3rd in the Premier League with 55 points (15W–10D–6L) and are firmly in the Champions League picture. Leeds United are 15th on 33 points (7W–12D–12L) — safe from relegation but without much to play for beyond pride and consistency. United are heavy home favourites at 59.3% win probability, with Leeds at just 18.1%.
Current Form
Manchester United: United are having a strong 2025/26 campaign — third place in the Premier League is a significant improvement from recent seasons. The Old Trafford crowd is right behind the team and Monday night under the lights at the Theatre of Dreams is one of football’s great atmospheres. United will be desperate to protect their Champions League spot.
Leeds United: Leeds drew 0–0 at home to Brentford before the international break — a frustrating but typical result for a side that has drawn 12 games this season. Back in the Premier League after promotion, Leeds have shown they can compete, but Old Trafford on a Monday night in a derby is an enormous test of their resolve.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2025 | Leeds United | 1–2 | Man United | Premier League |
| Feb 2023 | Man United | 2–0 | Leeds United | Premier League |
| Aug 2022 | Leeds United | 0–0 | Man United | Premier League |
| Feb 2022 | Man United | 4–2 | Leeds United | Premier League |
| Aug 2021 | Leeds United | 0–5 | Man United | Premier League |
H2H Summary (Last 5 PL Meetings)
| Team | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man United | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Leeds United | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Win Probability
| Man Utd Win | Draw | Leeds Win |
|---|---|---|
| 59.3% | 22.6% | 18.1% |
⚽ Players to Watch
| Player | Club | Why to Watch |
|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Højlund | Man United | Clinical finisher, dangerous in transition |
| Bruno Fernandes | Man United | Creative hub, set-piece specialist |
| Wilfried Gnonto | Leeds United | Quick, direct winger — Leeds’ biggest threat |
| Crysencio Summerville | Leeds United | Top scorer, capable of moments of genius |
🔮 Prediction: Manchester United 2–0 Leeds United
United’s dominance over Leeds in this fixture is historically overwhelming — four wins from the last five Premier League meetings, including a 5–0 thrashing at Elland Road. Old Trafford on a Monday night, with Champions League football at stake, creates the perfect environment for United to put in a commanding performance. Leeds will be feisty and competitive, as derby games always demand, but ultimately United’s superior quality and home advantage should see them to a clean-sheet victory.
Tip: Man United to Win & Under 3.5 Goals
Prediction based on current Premier League form, standings, H2H records and win probability data. Please gamble responsibly.
