Genoa vs Sassuolo – Serie A Prediction | April 12, 2026
Genoa CFC host Sassuolo Calcio at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Sunday morning in a Serie A fixture between two sides in the bottom half of the table. With both clubs fighting to avoid the drop zone, points are precious and neither can afford to be careless.
Match Overview
Genoa sit 14th in Serie A with 33 points (8W–9D–14L). Sassuolo are 11th on 42 points (12W–6D–13L) — in a more comfortable position but still not entirely safe. Genoa desperately need points at home to avoid being dragged further into trouble, while Sassuolo will be looking to build on their mid-table security.
Current Form
Genoa: Genoa were beaten 2–0 away at Juventus last Monday — a tough result but not unexpected given the opposition. At the Ferraris, they are a more competitive side and will look to their passionate home support to drive them to a vital win. Their 14 losses this season is a concerning statistic they must arrest.
Sassuolo: Sassuolo have had a decent campaign by their standards, winning 12 games. However, their away record is notably weaker than at home. They will be organised and dangerous on the counter, but Genoa’s home form gives the hosts a slight edge.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2025 | Sassuolo | 2–0 | Genoa | Serie A |
| Apr 2025 | Genoa | 1–1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Dec 2024 | Sassuolo | 1–2 | Genoa | Serie A |
| May 2024 | Genoa | 2–1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Nov 2023 | Sassuolo | 0–0 | Genoa | Serie A |
H2H Summary (Last 5)
| Team | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Win Probability
| Genoa Win | Draw | Sassuolo Win |
|---|---|---|
| 44.4% | 28.7% | 26.9% |
🔮 Prediction: Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo
Home advantage and a slight edge in win probability tips this in Genoa’s favour. The Ferraris will be raucous with fans desperate for points in a potential relegation battle. Genoa have shown they can beat Sassuolo — they did it twice in the last five meetings — and we back the hosts to claim a vital three points in what should be a closely contested encounter.
Tip: Genoa to Win / Both Teams to Score — Yes
Prediction based on current form, Serie A standings, H2H records and win probability data. Gamble responsibly.



